Icy-Relief
0x494744fd27e11061887ee9e75c08a8f1f4d120be
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-94.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?
10000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
1867 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in January 2026?
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 18 be less than 1,700,000?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 18 be between 1,800,000 and 1,900,000?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
990 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-13.33
- YES
Will Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in January 2026?
750 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
584 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-14.85
- NO
Will Russia capture Zarichne by February 28, 2026?
501 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by January 31?
429 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$3.33Jan 23, 14:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?$3.33Jan 23, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by January 31?$4.85Jan 23, 04:11 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?$2.50Jan 23, 04:06 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$1.96Jan 23, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by January 31?$3.00Jan 20, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total number of TSA passengers for January 18 be between 1,800,000 and 1,900,000?$1.00Jan 20, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total number of TSA passengers for January 18 be less than 1,700,000?$1.00Jan 20, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in January 2026?$5.00Jan 20, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping in January 2026?$10.00Jan 20, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan decreases interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$5.00Jan 20, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$10.00Jan 20, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?$5.00Jan 20, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?$1.00Jan 20, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?$5.00Jan 20, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?$5.00Jan 20, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by January 31?$10.00Jan 20, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$8.00Jan 20, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Zarichne by February 28, 2026?$15.00Jan 20, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?$20.00Jan 20, 16:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $6.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 20, 16:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 23, 14:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".