Damp-Polarization
0x49488a346292c1056f8d886b6064f9428cb877e7
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$5.00
Total PnL
$-19.26
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Everton vs. Liverpool end in a draw?
5 shares @ 18.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2024$5.00
$4.09
- NO
Will there be a US Government shutdown?
505 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-15.30
- YES
Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet?
24 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-22?
5 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2024$0.00
$-3.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be a US Government shutdown? $6.50Dec 21, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a US Government shutdown? $2.20Dec 21, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a US Government shutdown? $4.60Dec 21, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a US Government shutdown? $2.00Dec 20, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea win on 2024-12-22?$3.05Dec 19, 02:23 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?$0.00Dec 19, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Everton vs. Liverpool end in a draw?$0.91Dec 17, 01:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chelsea win on 2024-12-08?$10.00Dec 9, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea win on 2024-12-08?$4.80Dec 6, 16:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?$8.47Dec 6, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?$3.00Nov 17, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?$5.00Nov 17, 02:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$18.94Nov 13, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet?$5.00Nov 8, 00:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$8.24Nov 7, 17:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chelsea win on 2024-10-20?$0.00Oct 22, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$5.00Oct 18, 12:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$4.26Oct 18, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$5.00Oct 13, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$5.00Oct 13, 07:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $4.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 13, 07:27 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 21, 12:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".