Dangerous-Forum
0x494a2376ca7195a8c19295f5dafb010e22e15fc3
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
57
Open notional
$20.12
Total PnL
$-24.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 57- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
2 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.02
$0.02
- NO
EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?
1 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Gold close between $3200 and $3300 at the end of 2025?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?
1 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.01
$0.01
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will XRP reach $6.00 before 2026?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Opensea launch a token by December 31?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$1.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,900 January 12-18?$1.00Jan 15, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYEdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?$1.00Jan 4, 07:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mario Rivera Callejas win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$1.01Dec 26, 06:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on December 11?$1.01Dec 26, 06:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $3,400 December 1-7?$1.01Dec 26, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on December 24?$1.00Dec 26, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?$1.00Dec 12, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MetaMask launch a token in 2025?$1.00Dec 11, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on December 11?$1.00Dec 10, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?$1.00Dec 9, 06:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple (AAPL) close at $255-$260 on the final day of trading of the week of Dec 1 – Dec 5?$1.00Dec 6, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on December 5?$1.00Dec 6, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 3?$1.01Dec 6, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 3?$1.01Dec 6, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,400 December 1-7?$1.00Dec 6, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on December 5?$1.00Dec 5, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) close at $255-$260 on the final day of trading of the week of Dec 1 – Dec 5?$1.00Dec 4, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 3?$1.00Dec 3, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $6.00 before 2026?$1.00Dec 2, 07:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $300 in November?$1.00Dec 2, 07:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 10, 05:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 15, 02:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".