Honorable-Flash
0x494db5033743f8a7797edd98d0437ca6ad420804
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
63
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-394.00
Realised
$3.30
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 63- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on November 15?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Israel" or "Gaza" 7+ times during Saudi PM events on November 18?
400 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 71-72°F on October 19?
236 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 71°F or higher on October 20?
203 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on November 2?
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 63°F or higher on October 20?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 33-34°F on December 5?
146 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on January 17?
144 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-6.44
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
107 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 53-54°F on November 13?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 22?$11.83May 22, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on April 9?$10.00Apr 9, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on February 16?$10.00Feb 15, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET$10.00Feb 15, 02:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$20.17Feb 15, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$10.14Feb 15, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 16-17°F on February 8?$10.00Feb 7, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 24-25°F on February 7?$5.00Feb 7, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 30-31°F on February 6?$5.00Feb 6, 18:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on February 5?$20.00Feb 6, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on February 5?$8.00Feb 4, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on February 4?$1.99Feb 4, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on February 3?$4.35Feb 3, 18:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on February 3?$4.35Feb 3, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on February 3?$10.00Feb 2, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 33-34°F on February 2?$6.54Feb 2, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 22-23°F on February 1?$2.00Feb 1, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 22-23°F on February 1?$2.00Feb 1, 20:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be 24-25°F on February 1?$10.54Feb 1, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 24-25°F on February 1?$6.00Feb 1, 17:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $7.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 10, 18:28 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 08:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".