Bad-Pathway
0x4954adb855077fd6c5a19051d50f2070fab3ac42
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
152
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-214.56
Realised
$2.69
Win rate
24%
21 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 152- YES
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
138 shares @ 21.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$138.00
$108.50
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
25 shares @ 20.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$24.51
$19.51
- YES
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
59 shares @ 39.2¢·now 37.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.14
$-1.03
- NO
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
39 shares @ 59.7¢·now 54.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$21.56
$-1.94
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
22 shares @ 82.7¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$21.44
$3.26
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
42 shares @ 42.3¢·now 51.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$21.42
$3.66
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
21 shares @ 75.7¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.70
$1.66
- NO
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?
32 shares @ 74.2¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$17.44
$-6.32
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
23 shares @ 49.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$17.34
$5.94
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
38 shares @ 30.9¢·now 42.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$16.17
$4.42
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET$7.46Jun 2, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$7.46Jun 2, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$7.46Jun 2, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$7.46Jun 2, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET$7.46Jun 2, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$7.46Jun 2, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$7.46Jun 2, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$7.46Jun 2, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$7.46Jun 2, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$7.46Jun 2, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYDetroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5$5.07Jun 2, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca$5.08Jun 2, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4PM ET$7.50Jun 2, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$7.46Jun 2, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$7.46Jun 2, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$7.46Jun 2, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$7.46Jun 2, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$7.46Jun 2, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$7.46Jun 2, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$7.46Jun 2, 19:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $6.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 2, 17:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 22:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 21 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".