Somber-Toot
0x4958435d438af4b33ee34bb0b1850fca244db287
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$2.80
Total PnL
$-8.72
Realised
$0.18
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
GTA VI released before June 2026?
3 shares @ 96.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.80
$0.10
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 15?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down on October 15?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on October 15?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo drop out?
77 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $102,000 on October 18?
26 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Maduro out in 2025?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- ASVEL LYON-VILLEURBANNE
Panathinaikos vs. ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
US x China tariff agreement by November 10?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLGTA VI released before June 2026?$0.83Jan 23, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYGTA VI released before June 2026?$2.70Jan 23, 15:13 UTC
- TRADESELLGTA VI released before June 2026?$1.00Jan 23, 15:12 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?$1.16Dec 22, 12:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?$0.00Dec 20, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?$4.00Dec 20, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out in 2025?$1.00Dec 14, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYGTA VI released before June 2026?$1.00Dec 2, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYGTA VI released before June 2026?$1.00Dec 2, 15:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$0.73Dec 2, 15:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?$0.60Dec 2, 15:17 UTC
- TRADESELLInterstellar object confirmed aliens?$0.24Dec 2, 15:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$0.22Dec 2, 15:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?$0.12Dec 2, 15:17 UTC
- TRADESELLGTA VI released before June 2026?$0.80Dec 2, 15:17 UTC
- TRADESELLIs Earth flat?$0.31Dec 2, 15:17 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$1.27Dec 2, 15:17 UTC
- TRADESELLPutin out as President of Russia in 2025?$0.33Dec 2, 15:16 UTC
- TRADESELLGTA VI released before June 2026?$1.00Dec 2, 15:16 UTC
- TRADESELLMaduro out in 2025?$1.19Dec 2, 15:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $1.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 15, 17:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 23, 17:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.