Loving-Ferryboat
0x495b97dcdd8e3e4ae7788ca6a53156cd4907e3fc
Wallet digest
Activity score
36/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
37
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.5K
Realised
$-2.8K
Win rate
52%
23 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- CELTICS
NBA: Who will win Heat vs. Celtics, scheduled for May 17, 8:30 PM ET?
1174 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2022$0.00
$0.00
- YES
Will $ETH be above $1,200 on July 1?
1063 shares @ 10.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2022$0.00
$-108.49
- PACKERS
NFL Sunday: Giants vs. Packers
749 shares @ 76.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2022$0.00
$-573.04
- NO
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022?
624 shares @ 84.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2022$0.00
$-526.24
- NO
Will the Fed set interest rates above 1.50% after their scheduled June meeting?
340 shares @ 88.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2022$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Will the Celtics be the 2022-23 NBA Champion?
333 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2023$0.00
$-116.55
- BEARS
NFL Thursday: Commanders vs. Bears
299 shares @ 48.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2022$0.00
$-144.70
- YES
NFL: Will the Packers beat the 49ers by more than 3.5 points in their January 22 matchup?
263 shares @ 57.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2022$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
NFL: Will the Chiefs beat the Bengals by more than 7.5 points in their January 30 matchup?
239 shares @ 69.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2022$0.00
$-165.04
- YES
NHL: Will the Senators beat the Coyotes by more than 1.5 goals in their March 14 matchup (7.30 PM ET)?
200 shares @ 18.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2022$0.00
$-36.52
Recent activity
- REDEEM$ARB above $1 one week after launch?$55.00Oct 18, 19:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
53/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
52% win rate over 23 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
23 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 18, 19:07 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 18, 19:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 23 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.