Pessimistic-Distance
0x495d6a615ee6581321f4b5c4f26d9483b20579e3
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$550.73
Total PnL
$-72.26
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UNDER
Kashima Antlers vs. FC Tōkyō: O/U 2.5
324 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$323.45
$0.83
- NO
Will Kashiwa Reysol vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba end in a draw?
227 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$227.29
$0.12
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 11?
2868 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.04
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 22?
925 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-52.32
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $88,000 on January 22?
436 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-13.71
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 11?
383 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.15
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 22, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
2 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.98
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kashiwa Reysol vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba end in a draw?$113.52May 23, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kashiwa Reysol vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba end in a draw?$3.66May 23, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kashiwa Reysol vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba end in a draw?$1.07May 23, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kashiwa Reysol vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba end in a draw?$1.04May 23, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kashiwa Reysol vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba end in a draw?$99.90May 23, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kashiwa Reysol vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba end in a draw?$7.98May 23, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYKashima Antlers vs. FC Tōkyō: O/U 2.5$302.78May 23, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYKashima Antlers vs. FC Tōkyō: O/U 2.5$19.87May 23, 10:24 UTC
- REDEEMGolden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 166.5$6.77May 23, 03:26 UTC
- REDEEMThunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 105.5$957.60May 23, 03:18 UTC
- REDEEMDallas Wings vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 173.5$108.37May 23, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYGolden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 166.5$6.70May 23, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 105.5$556.84May 23, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 105.5$47.79May 23, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 105.5$61.22May 23, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 105.5$3.41May 23, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 105.5$4.01May 23, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 105.5$158.39May 23, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 105.5$115.32May 23, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYDallas Wings vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 173.5$107.32May 23, 01:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $119.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 13:50 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 11:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".