Mountainous-Stonework
0x495ee0f49d4e27c6b961b8e49747be8a7ce83673
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$5.00
Total PnL
$-93.09
Realised
$10.55
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Juan Daniel Oviedo win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
37918 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-37.92
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?
15000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 15?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 30% and 40% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?
9100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-9.10
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win 3 boroughs in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?
6642 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-6.64
- YES
Will "Now You See Me: Now You Don't" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 27m?
6300 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-6.30
- YES
Will Octavian Berceanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
5687 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-5.69
- YES
Will HNP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
3200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-3.20
- NO
Will "Predator: Badlands" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 33m?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?$526.32May 3, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juan Daniel Oviedo win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$10.40May 2, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?$303.87May 2, 14:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Hungarian Socialist Party (MSZP) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$0.34Apr 8, 11:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$0.14Apr 7, 16:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Hungarian Socialist Party (MSZP) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$0.30Apr 7, 16:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$1.00Apr 7, 16:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Hungarian Socialist Party (MSZP) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$15.78Apr 7, 09:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$1.00Apr 6, 09:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$0.02Apr 6, 07:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $152 Week of March 30 2026?$345.95Apr 5, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $152 Week of March 30 2026?$344.38Apr 1, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$39.00Apr 1, 13:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA reach $200 in March?$383.38Apr 1, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA reach $200 in March?$381.96Mar 29, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Hungarian Socialist Party (MSZP) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$10.00Mar 29, 15:37 UTC
- REDEEMBackpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?$391.95Mar 29, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBackpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?$261.29Jan 30, 10:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$243.44Jan 30, 10:26 UTC
- REDEEMUkraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?$17.86Jan 16, 13:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $50.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 11, 04:25 UTC
- Last active
- May 3, 08:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".