Illustrious-Warmup
0x495f80ef3778ba4aeaa94fe13428b9643ee4506a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-370.98
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$351.00Mar 31, 11:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. military implement transgender ban? $339.44Mar 31, 11:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on March 17?$0.00Mar 31, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on March 17?$429.85Mar 16, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on March 17?$25.20Mar 16, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on March 17?$8.40Mar 16, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on March 17?$58.40Mar 16, 16:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Strategy purchase Bitcoin Feb Mar 11-17?$449.49Mar 16, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Strategy purchase Bitcoin Feb Mar 11-17?$55.25Mar 14, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. military implement transgender ban? $79.99Mar 13, 11:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum hit $5,000.00 by March 31?$198.40Mar 13, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. military implement transgender ban? $196.71Mar 13, 11:16 UTC
- REDEEMPrice of eggs goes up in Trump's first month?$0.00Mar 13, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Strategy purchase Bitcoin Feb Mar 11-17?$203.67Mar 13, 11:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Strategy purchase Bitcoin Feb 11-17?$0.00Feb 28, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Strategy purchase Bitcoin Feb 11-17?$137.05Feb 11, 10:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?$146.28Feb 7, 12:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Trump" during January press conference?$0.00Jan 30, 12:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during January press conference?$413.00Jan 30, 12:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bills win Super Bowl 2025?$0.00Jan 27, 14:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $264.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 1, 14:16 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 31, 11:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.