Strident-Manacle
0x4960f4e492a693019e0650b381456f2b0eb47a11
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-16.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will "A Complete Unknown" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?
30963 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$0.00
$-991.03
- YES
Will Trump apologize to Elon by Monday?
30216 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2025$0.00
$-999.98
- YES
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
13437 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-5.1K
- YES
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?
11944 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
10838 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-999.01
- YES
Will Monica Barbaro win Best Supporting Actress at the 2025 Oscars?
10000 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$0.00
$-227.03
- YES
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by June 30?
9515 shares @ 24.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.3K
- YES
Will Edward Norton win Best Supporting Actor at the 2025 Oscars?
9010 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$0.00
$-607.35
- YES
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 2025 Oscars?
8896 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$0.00
$-2.5K
- YES
Will Isabella Rossellini win Best Supporting Actress at the 2025 Oscars?
4279 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$0.00
$-159.96
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$999.02Nov 4, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? $5.1KOct 9, 14:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Europe win the 2025 Ryder Cup?$3.1KSep 28, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Europe win the 2025 Ryder Cup?$1.4KSep 26, 12:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Belgium recognize Palestine in 2025?$1.4KSep 24, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium recognize Palestine in 2025?$6.0KSep 24, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Elon Musk by June 30?$313.25Jun 13, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Pacers$400.00Jun 13, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$1000.00Jun 12, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Elon Musk by June 30?$1000.00Jun 12, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$318.55Jun 6, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump apologize to Elon by Monday?$1.0KJun 6, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Elon Musk by June 30?$1000.00Jun 5, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 2025 Oscars?$500.00Mar 1, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Isabella Rossellini win Best Supporting Actress at the 2025 Oscars?$100.00Mar 1, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Edward Norton win Best Supporting Actor at the 2025 Oscars?$0.14Mar 1, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Edward Norton win Best Supporting Actor at the 2025 Oscars?$0.40Mar 1, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Edward Norton win Best Supporting Actor at the 2025 Oscars?$1.76Mar 1, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Edward Norton win Best Supporting Actor at the 2025 Oscars?$0.20Mar 1, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Edward Norton win Best Supporting Actor at the 2025 Oscars?$0.20Mar 1, 10:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $477.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 27, 13:18 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 4, 00:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".