Curly-Sleet
0x496ace1036fef7fd1bd074136683db90ec954a98
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$10.00
Total PnL
$0.07
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$4.98May 6, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 6?$4.95May 6, 16:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$4.77May 6, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$4.76Apr 20, 21:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Serhiivka by March 31?$1.14Apr 6, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Serhiivka by March 31?$1.13Mar 30, 11:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$11.84Feb 6, 04:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$14.00Feb 6, 04:10 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$5.96Jan 30, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$11.76Jan 23, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$5.79Jan 20, 23:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?$9.53Jan 19, 14:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 15?$9.85Jan 19, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$7.10Jan 14, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$6.21Jan 11, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?$8.86Jan 8, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 15?$9.36Jan 7, 01:32 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$1.72Jan 4, 19:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$4.29Jan 4, 19:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?$4.65Jan 4, 19:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $152.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 9, 14:05 UTC
- Last active
- May 6, 17:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.