Educated-Hive
0x4972aff118ebabe56240528e0d427c27749b1e07
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
50
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-521.46
Realised
$-135.70
Win rate
0%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 50- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $2.00 on December 8?
274 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.18
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $150 on December 4?
269 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.69
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on November 30?
266 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.33
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 6?
261 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.71
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 3?
261 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-4.18
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,300 and $3,400 on December 5?
261 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-5.74
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on November 24?
250 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on November 29?
242 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.45
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 December 1-7?
240 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.44
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $2.20 on January 19?
230 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 26?$2.10Jun 26, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 28?$5.40May 27, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 28?$27.69May 27, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 24?$3.74May 23, 19:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 19?$35.04May 19, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 19?$32.41May 19, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 18?$1.88May 17, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 17?$1.26May 16, 20:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 10?$39.81May 10, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 10?$38.22May 9, 19:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $2.40 on November 26?$0.00May 3, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 8?$0.00Apr 25, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down on April 19?$4.61Apr 19, 11:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 14?$44.76Apr 19, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 14?$0.07Apr 14, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 14?$42.50Apr 14, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on April 14?$2.38Apr 13, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on April 11?$1.46Apr 10, 18:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $2.20 on December 2?$0.00Apr 10, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on April 1?$2.17Apr 1, 03:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
28/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $20.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 23, 10:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 26, 01:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.