Outlying-Smile
0x4976bb57eef90061afce880900079f2377ab330a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
82
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-290.73
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 82- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $2.00 on December 8?
281 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.18
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $2,700 December 15-21?
280 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.75
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $3,100 December 22-28?
280 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-4.37
- YES
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
279 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-3.94
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on December 29?
279 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-2.85
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $130 on December 26?
279 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-5.85
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 19?
278 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-3.38
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on December 18?
278 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$0.00
$-3.89
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
276 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.71
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 23?
274 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-4.11
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 2?$230.00Jun 2, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 2?$227.01Jun 2, 02:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 26?$182.50May 26, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 27?$2.16May 26, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 26?$179.58May 25, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 24?$1.96May 24, 01:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on May 15?$183.80May 15, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on May 15?$181.04May 14, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 11?$1.53May 10, 17:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 31?$65.20May 7, 07:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 28?$210.27Apr 30, 19:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 31?$0.00Apr 19, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on April 14?$1.98Apr 14, 05:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on December 26?$0.00Apr 10, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 1?$2.58Mar 31, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 31?$63.57Mar 31, 09:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on December 19?$0.00Mar 31, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 29, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$4.05Mar 30, 02:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Octavian Berceanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$0.00Mar 29, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 28?$0.27Mar 28, 13:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $61.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 26, 22:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 18:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".