Alienated-Napkin
0x497758abca5790a642c0ccfa3ec47d22dc8eddb3
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$18.63
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
20 shares @ 94.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$17.69
$-1.10
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10 shares @ 10.2¢·now 9.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.94
$-0.08
- UTAH
Blackhawks vs. Utah
2900 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.1K
- CANUCKS
Canucks vs. Kings
500 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-145.00
- SUNS
Suns vs. Heat
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- PACERS
Mavericks vs. Pacers
20 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMLoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs$20.00Jun 3, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs$18.44Jun 2, 02:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?$0.00Jun 2, 02:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?$20.00Jun 2, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.05May 29, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$18.82May 19, 03:34 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$2.00May 18, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?$19.71May 18, 12:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$632.68May 18, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$615.13May 17, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$20.39May 17, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$7.00May 8, 09:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$10.00May 8, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$9.84Apr 13, 06:01 UTC
- REWARD$0.13Apr 10, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$1.44Apr 10, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanucks vs. Kings$145.00Apr 9, 13:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$50.90Mar 17, 14:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 10, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$51.11Mar 9, 14:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $375.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 13, 15:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 15:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".