Plain-Mess
0x49798cd1923a6a9547169a8a0f51d7ccf449519b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.36
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Oman strike Iran by April 30?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?
42 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will UK strike Iran by April 30?
31 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?
9 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.36
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?$1.36Apr 12, 08:19 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?$0.62Apr 12, 08:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Yemen by April 30, 2026?$0.74Apr 12, 08:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE?$0.00Apr 12, 08:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?$0.00Apr 12, 08:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?$0.00Apr 12, 08:18 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$0.00Apr 11, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$1.15Apr 9, 22:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 30?$0.34Apr 9, 22:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 30?$0.34Apr 9, 22:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?$0.00Apr 9, 18:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?$0.00Apr 9, 18:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?$0.00Apr 9, 18:46 UTC
- REDEEMRolex Monte Carlo Masters: Tomas Machac vs Jannik Sinner$0.00Apr 9, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?$1.00Apr 9, 10:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?$0.83Apr 9, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?$1.00Apr 9, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UK strike Iran by April 30?$1.00Apr 9, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oman strike Iran by April 30?$1.00Apr 9, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Yemen by April 30, 2026?$1.00Apr 9, 10:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $1.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 2, 17:42 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 12, 08:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.