Candid-Shortage
0x497f18d53b4dbfb3af7e850167f6239f0a2d54cc
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
43
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-97.55
Realised
$43.80
Win rate
100%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5PM ET
114 shares @ 13.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 11AM ET
75 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 16, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10PM ET
74 shares @ 12.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3PM ET
68 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 26, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
54 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12AM ET
53 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
49 shares @ 14.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 1PM ET
45 shares @ 12.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 16, 2025$0.00
$-5.75
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 3AM ET
45 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
41 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?$0.00Dec 13, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool win on 2025-12-06?$5.00Dec 3, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea win on 2025-12-06?$5.00Dec 3, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win on 2025-12-06?$8.00Dec 3, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?$8.00Dec 3, 12:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester City win on 2025-12-02?$5.00Dec 3, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City win on 2025-12-02?$3.00Nov 30, 17:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester United win on 2025-11-30?$15.63Nov 30, 17:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Liverpool win on 2025-11-30?$8.76Nov 30, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool win on 2025-11-30?$5.00Nov 29, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United win on 2025-11-30?$5.00Nov 29, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$2.00Nov 28, 10:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?$6.20Oct 10, 04:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$0.00Oct 6, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$1.00Oct 5, 17:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$11.34Oct 5, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$1.50Oct 5, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$1.00Oct 5, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$3.00Oct 5, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$1.00Oct 5, 15:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $3.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 18, 03:08 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 13, 21:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".