Optimistic-Nod
0x498504759fa7399b2a036b821b4420c51db7529a
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?
2995 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.1K
- CHARGERS
Chargers vs. Patriots
10 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.60
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 9?
10 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-4.40
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?$11.74Mar 4, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?$28.84Mar 2, 03:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from February 20 to February 27, 2026?$50.00Mar 1, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from February 20 to February 27, 2026?$49.60Feb 24, 20:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 32°C on February 4?$3.6KFeb 7, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 32°C on February 4?$2.6KFeb 4, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 32°C on February 4?$72.00Feb 4, 07:37 UTC
- REDEEMMicrosoft (MSFT) Up or Down on January 26?$3.0KFeb 4, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicrosoft (MSFT) Up or Down on January 26?$2.2KJan 26, 01:45 UTC
- REDEEMMicrosoft (MSFT) Up or Down on January 22?$2.0KJan 23, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicrosoft (MSFT) Up or Down on January 22?$1.5KJan 22, 11:04 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$5.00Jan 21, 11:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?$50.00Jan 12, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?$1.4KJan 10, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?$710.00Jan 10, 07:38 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C or below on January 10?$50.00Jan 10, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?$27.50Jan 10, 07:16 UTC
- SPLITWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C or below on January 10?$50.00Jan 10, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYChargers vs. Patriots$3.60Jan 9, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$5.40Jan 9, 09:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $584.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 31, 09:09 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 4, 02:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.