Wallet digest

active

Activity score

69/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$84.93

Total PnL

$-3.9K

Realised

$0.00

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 81

DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
85 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026
$84.93
$35.67
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
159 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026
$0.00
$-49.43
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
154 shares @ 32.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026
$0.00
$-49.41
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
145 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026
$0.00
$-49.37
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
141 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026
$0.00
$-49.35
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
130 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026
$0.00
$-49.31
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
123 shares @ 39.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026
$0.00
$-49.28
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
120 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026
$0.00
$-49.27
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
119 shares @ 41.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026
$0.00
$-49.26
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
117 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026
$0.00
$-49.26

Recent activity

TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$50.00Jan 17, 15:15 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$50.00Jan 17, 15:00 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$50.00Jan 17, 14:45 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$50.00Jan 17, 14:15 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$50.00Jan 17, 14:00 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$50.00Jan 17, 13:45 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$50.00Jan 17, 13:30 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$84.93Jan 17, 13:25 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$94.66Jan 17, 13:25 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$110.96Jan 17, 13:25 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$50.00Jan 17, 13:00 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$50.00Jan 17, 12:30 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$104.73Jan 17, 12:21 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$104.73Jan 17, 12:21 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$104.73Jan 17, 12:21 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$50.00Jan 17, 12:15 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$50.00Jan 17, 11:45 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$50.00Jan 17, 11:30 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$50.00Jan 17, 11:00 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$50.00Jan 17, 10:45 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity39 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence0 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry100 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk79 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 34
Avg trade size: $50.00
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Jan 17, 00:59 UTC
Last active: Jan 17, 15:15 UTC
Win rate sample: 0 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 01:38:17 UTC·src:Polymarket Data