Minor-Verdict
0x498615d078b10b5496498b61f2d42134eb4b2c67
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$59.33
Total PnL
$-338.62
Realised
$3.53
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 17?
53 shares @ 26.0¢·now 36.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$19.20
$5.33
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on June 17?
47 shares @ 21.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$7.80
$-2.13
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 17?
53 shares @ 18.4¢·now 14.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$7.47
$-2.34
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on June 17?
14 shares @ 25.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$4.83
$1.33
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 17?
25 shares @ 7.0¢·now 17.8¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$4.44
$2.69
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 17?
17 shares @ 21.0¢·now 26.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$4.33
$0.83
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 18?
39 shares @ 9.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$2.92
$-0.58
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 18?
18 shares @ 20.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$2.01
$-1.49
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on June 18?
22 shares @ 8.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$1.64
$-0.11
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 18?
36 shares @ 4.8¢·now 3.1¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$1.13
$-0.62
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on June 17?$1.75Jun 17, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 17?$0.85Jun 17, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 17?$0.90Jun 17, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 17?$0.00Jun 17, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 17?$1.83Jun 17, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 17?$3.50Jun 17, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 17?$1.04Jun 17, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 17?$0.71Jun 17, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on June 18?$1.83Jun 17, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on June 18?$3.62Jun 17, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 17?$0.29Jun 16, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 17?$3.64Jun 16, 23:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 16?$24.84Jun 16, 22:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 16?$11.66Jun 16, 21:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 16?$14.58Jun 16, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 17?$1.78Jun 16, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 17?$1.75Jun 16, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on June 17?$3.64Jun 16, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 17?$0.65Jun 16, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 17?$2.92Jun 16, 21:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $1.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 16, 13:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 17, 01:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.