Imperfect-Domain
0x4986a8228781c840d7974f0a3a1f9e7b5a7e786a
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.5K
Realised
$112.47
Win rate
83%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
540 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-27.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
515 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-10.29
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
456 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8AM ET
400 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-140.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
373 shares @ 48.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-180.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
351 shares @ 52.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-183.83
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
317 shares @ 27.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-86.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
282 shares @ 24.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-70.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET
250 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-16.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$8.18Jun 30, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$5.20Jun 30, 17:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$10.64Jun 30, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$10.08Jun 30, 17:48 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$12.67Jun 30, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$9.26Jun 30, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$1.05Jun 30, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$0.53Jun 29, 08:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$0.00Jun 29, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$5.19Jun 29, 08:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$13.54Jun 29, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$5.15Jun 29, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$5.14Jun 29, 08:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$6.44Jun 29, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$5.17Jun 29, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$5.34Jun 29, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$5.25Jun 29, 08:24 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$21.92Jun 29, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$1.05Jun 29, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$15.54Jun 29, 08:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
48/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
83% win rate over 18 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
18 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $6.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 24, 17:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 30, 17:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.