Modest-Handball
0x4986ef934cbda4420b22d58708ff74cb465b8bc9
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$5.6K
Total PnL
$-2.6K
Realised
$489.70
Win rate
82%
45 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will "28 Years Later: Bone Temple" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 16m?
5221 shares @ 94.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$5.2K
$265.51
- NO
Will "28 Years Later: Bone Temple" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 18.5m and 21m?
421 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$421.36
$8.66
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
20639 shares @ -0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$16.33
- YES
Will Elon tweet 120–134 times July 18–25?
6596 shares @ -0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$2.45
- YES
Will Elon tweet 90–104 times July 18–25?
6596 shares @ -0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$2.45
- YES
Will Elon tweet less than 90 times July 18–25?
6596 shares @ -0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$2.45
- YES
Will Elon tweet 105–119 times July 18–25?
6596 shares @ -0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$2.45
- YES
Will Elon tweet 135–149 times July 18–25?
6596 shares @ -0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$2.45
- YES
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 18–25?
6510 shares @ -0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$2.42
- YES
Jessica Ramos gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
5263 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-0.21
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Zootopia 2 be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on March 15?$145.45Jan 22, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zootopia 2 be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on March 15?$199.55Jan 21, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "28 Years Later: Bone Temple" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 16m?$978.81Jan 17, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "28 Years Later: Bone Temple" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 16m?$24.78Jan 17, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "28 Years Later: Bone Temple" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 16m?$1.6KJan 17, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "28 Years Later: Bone Temple" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 16m?$95.00Jan 17, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "28 Years Later: Bone Temple" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 16m?$1.1KJan 17, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "28 Years Later: Bone Temple" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 16m?$210.33Jan 17, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "28 Years Later: Bone Temple" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 16m?$95.00Jan 17, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "28 Years Later: Bone Temple" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 16m?$144.59Jan 17, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "28 Years Later: Bone Temple" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 16m?$209.00Jan 17, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "28 Years Later: Bone Temple" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 16m?$47.50Jan 17, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "28 Years Later: Bone Temple" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 16m?$190.00Jan 17, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "28 Years Later: Bone Temple" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 16m?$19.00Jan 17, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "28 Years Later: Bone Temple" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 16m?$13.29Jan 17, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "28 Years Later: Bone Temple" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 16m?$13.29Jan 17, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "28 Years Later: Bone Temple" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 16m?$132.86Jan 17, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "28 Years Later: Bone Temple" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 16m?$46.50Jan 17, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "28 Years Later: Bone Temple" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 18.5m and 21m?$31.71Jan 16, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "28 Years Later: Bone Temple" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 18.5m and 21m?$380.99Jan 16, 23:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $391.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 27, 08:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 22, 06:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 45 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.