Repentant-Coliseum
0x4989108a89e0904d2e7aedff8eb3cc28b9a91860
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$6.49
Total PnL
$-979.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2 shares @ 98.9¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.15
$-0.02
- YES
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
2 shares @ 97.8¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$2.14
$0.04
- NO
Will Qatar win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 97.5¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$1.15
$0.00
- YES
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$1.05
$0.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 7AM ET
1200 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-18.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 6AM ET
988 shares @ 96.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-955.63
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
200 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$1.05Jun 9, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.15Jun 9, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.17Jun 9, 08:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 27°C or below on May 17?$1.03Jun 9, 08:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$4.00Jun 9, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 27°C or below on May 17?$1.03May 15, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$2.10May 15, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$3.23May 15, 23:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manfred Reyes Villa win the 2026 Cochabamba mayoral election?$1.25May 15, 12:27 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?$2.84May 15, 12:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $4,000 in March?$5.12May 15, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manfred Reyes Villa win the 2026 Cochabamba mayoral election?$1.20Mar 10, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?$2.70Mar 10, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4,000 in March?$5.10Mar 10, 08:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?$1.33Mar 10, 08:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$1.86Mar 10, 08:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $5,000 in February?$4.11Mar 10, 08:04 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$0.05Feb 5, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?$1.30Feb 4, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $5,000 in February?$4.10Feb 4, 05:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $23.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 4, 04:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 9, 08:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.