These-Clavicle
0x4992fc5a37b6509db8d4c0fbe5e76133c578c43d
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$2.71
Total PnL
$-19.29
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 23?
103 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.3¢·exp May 23, 2026$1.34
$0.34
- YES
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?
36 shares @ 14.0¢·now 2.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.84
$-4.16
- YES
Services Down Parlay
35 shares @ 2.8¢·now 1.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.53
$-0.47
- NO
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
50 shares @ 20.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
18 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 23?$1.05May 21, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$5.25May 20, 21:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$0.00May 19, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?$5.17May 18, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$1.05May 17, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYServices Down Parlay$1.04May 17, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by May 31?$10.32May 17, 21:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$277.19May 17, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$5.48May 15, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$5.24May 15, 09:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $4.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 09:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 21, 22:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".