Squiggly-Pavement
0x4996aa7341f0f84281971a8aff04955fdd0e55b5
Wallet digest
Activity score
44/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
26
Open notional
$23.60
Total PnL
$-34.42
Realised
$-0.97
Win rate
0%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- UNDER
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5
5 shares @ 39.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$3.23
$1.27
- UNDER
Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$2.48
$-0.03
- UNDER
Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$2.42
$-0.07
- UNDER
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5
5 shares @ 49.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$2.38
$-0.07
- UNDER
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5
5 shares @ 47.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$2.33
$-0.03
- UNDER
San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5
5 shares @ 45.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$2.23
$-0.03
- UNDER
Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5
5 shares @ 45.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$2.23
$-0.03
- UNDER
Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5
5 shares @ 43.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$2.13
$-0.03
- UNDER
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5
5 shares @ 43.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$2.13
$-0.03
- UNDER
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5
5 shares @ 42.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$2.08
$-0.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5$2.16Aug 16, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWashington Nationals vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5$2.56Aug 16, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWashington Nationals vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5$2.21Aug 16, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYChicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5$2.41Aug 16, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5$2.31Aug 16, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5$2.56Aug 16, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5$2.51Aug 16, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBoston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5$2.31Aug 16, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYArizona Diamondbacks vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5$2.21Aug 16, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBaltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5$2.01Aug 16, 14:46 UTC
- REDEEMTexas Rangers vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5$5.00Aug 16, 04:39 UTC
- REDEEMKansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5$5.00Aug 16, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYTexas Rangers vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5$2.16Aug 16, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYKansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5$2.36Aug 16, 00:09 UTC
- REDEEMChicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5$0.00Aug 16, 00:01 UTC
- REDEEMNew York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5$5.00Aug 15, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5$2.26Aug 15, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBaltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5$2.06Aug 15, 20:40 UTC
- REDEEMChicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5$5.00Aug 15, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWashington Nationals vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5$2.41Aug 15, 18:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
49/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 16 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
16 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $2.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 14, 21:10 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 16, 16:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.