First-Radiator
0x4997b58c33eb31bae51f54a684789361086aa303
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
37
Open notional
$44.64
Total PnL
$-755.38
Realised
$96.40
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- YES
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
2178 shares @ 4.7¢·now 2.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$44.64
$-57.51
- YES
Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get 80 million or more views on day 1?
400 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-24.50
- YES
Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get between 60 and 70 million views on day 1?
400 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-24.50
- YES
Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get between 70 and 80 million views on day 1?
400 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-24.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 2AM ET
360 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-17.63
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
278 shares @ 29.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-83.13
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?
200 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
197 shares @ 14.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-28.70
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
141 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-98.90
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
130 shares @ 19.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-25.03
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$20.00Jun 6, 05:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$100.00Jun 6, 05:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$49.47Jun 6, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$69.00Mar 10, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$5.60Mar 10, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$8.95Mar 10, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$1.67Mar 5, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$6.72Mar 5, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$6.72Mar 5, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$5.16Mar 5, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$2.63Mar 5, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$5.10Mar 5, 03:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET$11.21Mar 1, 04:36 UTC
- REDEEMGovernment shutdown on Saturday?$10.00Mar 1, 04:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$19.86Mar 1, 04:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$0.00Mar 1, 04:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$49.22Mar 1, 04:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$9.95Feb 25, 03:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$8.30Feb 23, 11:17 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$3.52Feb 21, 14:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $14.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 14, 09:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 05:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".