0x499d6cba377acf539221e7ba8f71054d891a4222
0x499d6cba377acf539221e7ba8f71054d891a4222
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$10.70
Total PnL
$-0.76
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
4 shares @ 69.5¢·now 68.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.44
$-0.02
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$1.96
$0.96
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
1 shares @ 67.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.26
$0.26
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 97.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.13
$0.13
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.13
$0.13
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.05
$0.05
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 16.7¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.95
$-0.04
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
2 shares @ 42.8¢·now 32.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.77
$-0.23
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 12PM ET
2 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 3, 12PM ET$1.05Jun 3, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$1.04Jun 3, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$1.04Jun 3, 16:17 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - June 3, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$0.00Jun 3, 16:16 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - June 3, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$0.00Jun 3, 08:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$0.00Jun 3, 08:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above 68,600 on June 3, 3AM ET?$0.00Jun 3, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above 68,600 on June 3, 3AM ET?$1.06Jun 3, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$1.04Jun 3, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - June 3, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$1.05Jun 3, 06:48 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$0.00Jun 3, 06:47 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - June 2, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$1.67Jun 3, 06:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$1.10Jun 3, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - June 2, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$1.03Jun 2, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$1.07Jun 2, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$1.01Jun 2, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 3, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$1.04Jun 2, 10:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$3.45Jun 2, 10:03 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - June 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$2.13Jun 2, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$1.05Jun 1, 07:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $1.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 05:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 16:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".