0x49a08ee3fc856418207e424bbfcddaaf57b4a0a6
0x49a08ee3fc856418207e424bbfcddaaf57b4a0a6
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
160
Open notional
$69.91
Total PnL
$-383.64
Realised
$-145.46
Win rate
0%
55 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 160- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on May 20?
14 shares @ 10.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 20, 2026$13.99
$12.59
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on May 20?
4 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$4.00
$0.16
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 20?
4 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$4.00
$0.48
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 20?
4 shares @ 64.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 20, 2026$4.00
$1.44
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 20?
4 shares @ 36.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 20, 2026$3.99
$2.55
- NO
Will Hong Kong have 240mm or more of precipitation in May?
4 shares @ 92.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.64
$-0.04
- NO
Will Hong Kong have between 220-230mm of precipitation in May?
4 shares @ 95.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.62
$-0.18
- NO
Will Hong Kong have between 200-210mm of precipitation in May?
4 shares @ 97.4¢·now 89.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.60
$-0.32
- NO
Will Hong Kong have between 230-240mm of precipitation in May?
4 shares @ 95.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.58
$-0.22
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 20?
3 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$3.48
$1.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 20?$1.51May 20, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 20?$2.61May 20, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on May 20?$3.85May 20, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on May 20?$1.46May 20, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 20?$1.36May 20, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on May 20?$1.43May 20, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Liz" or "Truss" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$1.98May 20, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Brexit" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$3.42May 20, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C or higher on May 20?$3.69May 20, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 20?$2.45May 20, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 20?$3.54May 20, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Investment" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$3.38May 19, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 20?$1.49May 19, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 20?$1.92May 19, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hong Kong have between 220-230mm of precipitation in May?$3.81May 19, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hong Kong have between 230-240mm of precipitation in May?$3.81May 19, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hong Kong have between 200-210mm of precipitation in May?$3.93May 19, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hong Kong have between 190-200mm of precipitation in May?$1.45May 19, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hong Kong have 240mm or more of precipitation in May?$3.69May 19, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hong Kong have between 180-190mm of precipitation in May?$1.50May 19, 16:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $2.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 21:53 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 04:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 55 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".