Cultured-Salmon
0x49a0f9257cdfdfaa137e308feff53e61af62c6c5
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-450.56
Realised
$-8.94
Win rate
2%
200 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - August 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
47 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
35 shares @ 28.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down - July 24, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
26 shares @ 93.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$0.00
$-24.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - August 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
25 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - August 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
22 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.08
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - August 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
19 shares @ 10.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
17 shares @ 23.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - August 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
17 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
14 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.12
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
13 shares @ 15.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - August 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$3.74Aug 13, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$1.04Aug 13, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$1.03Aug 13, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$0.00Aug 13, 01:32 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$0.00Aug 13, 01:32 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$0.00Aug 13, 01:32 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$0.00Aug 13, 01:32 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$0.00Aug 13, 01:32 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - August 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$3.96Aug 13, 00:29 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$0.00Aug 13, 00:23 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$0.00Aug 13, 00:23 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$0.00Aug 13, 00:23 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$0.00Aug 13, 00:23 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$0.00Aug 13, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$2.11Aug 13, 00:23 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$4.00Aug 12, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$2.11Aug 12, 23:33 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$2.92Aug 12, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$2.23Aug 12, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$1.60Aug 12, 23:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
61/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
2% win rate over 200 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 24/100.
200 closed markets, 2% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $2.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 12, 18:37 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 13, 06:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 200 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.