Crazy-Inevitable
0x49a7a47dd73bfad5480dace52ee599f3046a5f17
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$569.40
Total PnL
$-20.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- NO
BNB all time high by December 31?
569 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$569.40
$267.62
- YES
Will Charlie Kirk rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
180000 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.8K
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on October 26?
38379 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
Over $20M committed to the Paystream raise on MetaDAO?
27964 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-27.96
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win The Bronx in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?
23186 shares @ 23.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-5.4K
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
21496 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win Manhattan in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?
20000 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-189.96
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
10000 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-847.90
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $120,000 on October 27?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
10000 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be 36% or higher?$149.34Dec 31, 08:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?$2.5KDec 31, 08:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?$11.0KDec 31, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charlie Kirk rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?$1.5KDec 4, 03:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $3,000 by December 31?$999.69Nov 18, 22:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?$1.4KNov 18, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win Queens in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?$5.00Nov 5, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win The Bronx in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?$0.13Nov 5, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win The Bronx in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?$0.12Nov 5, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win Manhattan in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?$71.06Nov 5, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win Manhattan in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?$9.00Nov 5, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win Manhattan in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?$9.00Nov 5, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win The Bronx in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?$3.27Nov 5, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win Queens in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?$3.69Nov 5, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win Manhattan in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?$77.90Nov 5, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win Manhattan in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?$10.00Nov 5, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win Manhattan in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?$2.98Nov 5, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win The Bronx in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?$2.27Nov 5, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win The Bronx in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?$1.00Nov 5, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win The Bronx in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?$5.05Nov 5, 02:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $68.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 3, 20:02 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 31, 08:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".