Upright-Rain
0x49a8e6bc576059523185373436eea4acc3768778
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-159.77
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US strikes Yemen by December 31?
5250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
Will Israel strike 2 countries in December 2025?
1500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Israel strike 1 country in December 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
375 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-75.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
325 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-28.00
- YES
Will Movsar Evloev win by KO or TKO?
231 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-27.77
- YES
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 25, 2026?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 24?
8 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Movsar Evloev win by KO or TKO?$27.77Mar 21, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?$1.00Feb 20, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?$1.00Feb 19, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?$25.00Feb 18, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?$25.00Feb 18, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?$25.00Feb 18, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?$25.00Feb 18, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?$1.00Feb 18, 13:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Gaza on February 18, 2026?$20.71Feb 18, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on February 18, 2026?$10.00Feb 18, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on February 18, 2026?$10.00Feb 18, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on January 25, 2026?$1.00Jan 26, 20:02 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$0.00Jan 21, 20:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Gaza on January 21, 2026?$4.45Jan 21, 13:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Gaza on January 21, 2026?$32.99Jan 21, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on January 21, 2026?$10.00Jan 20, 23:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$103.61Jan 14, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$83.88Jan 13, 21:26 UTC
- TRADESELLIran strike on US military by January 31?$83.89Jan 13, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran strike on US military by January 31?$91.19Jan 13, 21:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $23.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 24, 15:07 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 21, 21:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".