Bruised-Quiver
0x49ac1d9ae17a91d3e80b5291c38d50256eb584f3
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
90
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$-13.91
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 90- YES
Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?
7383 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-276.32
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 86°F or below on July 17?
4342 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2025$0.00
$-5.32
- YES
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?
2695 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 89°F or higher on July 23?
2633 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2025$0.00
$-60.88
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 80°F or below on August 5?
1030 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.03
- YES
Will global temperature increase by less than 0.90ºC in July 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 87-88°F on July 17?
697 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2025$0.00
$-19.34
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 89-90°F on July 17?
575 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2025$0.00
$-40.90
- YES
Will "Smurfs" Rotten Tomatoes score be 70 or higher?
501 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2025$0.00
$-4.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 80°F or below on July 26?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the New York Jets win Super Bowl 2026?$0.20Oct 2, 20:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026?$0.20Oct 2, 20:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?$0.24Oct 2, 20:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026?$0.28Oct 2, 20:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl 2026?$0.28Oct 2, 20:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next James Bond be British?$0.38Oct 2, 20:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?$0.56Oct 2, 20:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?$0.80Oct 2, 20:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?$70.84Oct 2, 20:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be 70°F or below on August 20?$13.32Aug 24, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 71-72°F on August 20?$26.72Aug 20, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 71-72°F on August 20?$4.62Aug 20, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 71-72°F on August 20?$3.66Aug 20, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 70°F or below on August 20?$0.27Aug 20, 11:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 18?$39.63Aug 20, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 18?$35.27Aug 18, 03:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 18?$1.21Aug 18, 03:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 18?$1.50Aug 18, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 18?$5.17Aug 18, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 18?$1.50Aug 18, 03:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $7.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 5, 02:52 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 2, 20:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".