Quizzical-Accelerant
0x49b07c975ea9100333448388e84d31ed894eefd5
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$498.90
Total PnL
$-483.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?
103 shares @ 97.0¢·now 97.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$100.10
$0.10
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
909 shares @ 11.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$95.45
$-4.54
- YES
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
440 shares @ 22.7¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$76.96
$-23.04
- NO
Hugh Jackman as Wolverine?
381 shares @ 19.4¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 18, 2026$70.44
$-3.53
- YES
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?
304 shares @ 32.9¢·now 15.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$45.64
$-54.36
- YES
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?
1445 shares @ 4.0¢·now 3.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$44.09
$-13.91
- YES
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
202 shares @ 49.5¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$41.41
$-58.59
- YES
Hasan Piker arrested by June 30?
679 shares @ 22.1¢·now 3.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$24.80
$-125.20
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
19250 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-99.98
- YES
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?
1347 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYHasan Piker arrested by June 30?$155.84May 27, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?$58.00May 26, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?$103.36May 24, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYEbola case in the US by June 30?$102.52May 24, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?$100.15May 24, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?$100.00May 24, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?$100.00May 24, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYHugh Jackman as Wolverine?$76.95May 23, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$100.00May 23, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?$103.86May 23, 23:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $100.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 23, 23:44 UTC
- Last active
- May 27, 09:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".