Grand-Butterfly
0x49b27a6dc37eebdf3bb16237b3b19bcd386effd0
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
42
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-877.33
Realised
$109.15
Win rate
86%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- NO
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?
4380 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-11.04
- NO
Will Pierre Poilievre lose his seat?
1000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- JAZZ
Jazz vs. Timberwolves
995 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2025$0.00
$-40.60
- PELICANS
Pelicans vs. Lakers
730 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2025$0.00
$-28.50
- MAGIC
Magic vs. Celtics
600 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2025$0.00
$-16.32
- RAPTORS
Pistons vs. Raptors
430 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- WIZARDS
Magic vs. Wizards
410 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2025$0.00
$-29.30
- YES
Will Benin win on 2025-12-23?
400 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?
370 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.07
- PISTONS
Pistons vs. Timberwolves
370 shares @ 11.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2025$0.00
$-42.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYU.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?$0.99Jan 16, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?$3.08Jan 16, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYLakers vs. Pelicans$5.06Jan 7, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?$1.05Jan 3, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$22.64Jan 3, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?$9.99Jan 3, 07:57 UTC
- TRADESELLNotre Dame Fighting Irish vs. California Golden Bears$7.40Jan 3, 06:03 UTC
- TRADESELLNotre Dame Fighting Irish vs. California Golden Bears$14.74Jan 3, 06:03 UTC
- TRADESELLNotre Dame Fighting Irish vs. California Golden Bears$18.06Jan 3, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrizzlies vs. Lakers$14.26Jan 3, 05:52 UTC
- TRADESELLGrizzlies vs. Lakers$29.40Jan 3, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrizzlies vs. Lakers$18.20Jan 3, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYNotre Dame Fighting Irish vs. California Golden Bears$17.40Jan 3, 05:34 UTC
- TRADESELLGrizzlies vs. Lakers$17.10Jan 3, 05:30 UTC
- TRADESELLGrizzlies vs. Lakers$17.10Jan 3, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrizzlies vs. Lakers$23.40Jan 3, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sudan win on 2025-12-24?$3.01Dec 24, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports (BO3)$1.45Dec 24, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports (BO3)$36.23Dec 24, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Preasy Mix vs Prestige (BO3)$10.40Dec 23, 15:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $77.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 27, 01:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 16, 08:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".