Lucky-Delay
0x49bb97f23b62e3f3525578b543c2240907751d1d
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.40
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Democratic candidate win Wisconsin by 3%-4.0%?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will there be 165,000,000-170,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Democratic candidate win Pennsylvania by 2.0%-2.5%?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Maine be the tipping point state?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Republicans control 229 seats in the House after the election?
400 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2024$0.00
$-0.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Republicans control 229 seats in the House after the election?$0.40Nov 12, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Maine be the tipping point state?$1.00Nov 12, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic candidate win Wisconsin by 3%-4.0%? $1.00Nov 12, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 165,000,000-170,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?$1.00Nov 12, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic candidate win Pennsylvania by 2.0%-2.5%?$1.00Nov 12, 21:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.00Nov 12, 21:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chris Christie win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$0.00Nov 12, 21:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$1.69Nov 12, 21:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tammy Baldwin be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$0.00Aug 14, 10:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dean Phillips win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$0.00Aug 14, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chris Christie win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$1.00Jul 27, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tammy Baldwin be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$1.00Jul 27, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dean Phillips win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$1.00Jul 27, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$1.00Jul 27, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$1.00Jul 27, 12:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $0.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 12:04 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 12, 21:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.