Unknown-Charger
0x49bbe046f3cc29f971c89a14b0c8e1f8750caaf9
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$1.6K
Realised
$2.2K
Win rate
89%
9 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Hyperliquid dip to $48 in July?
785 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.00
$-21.80
- YES
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on July 31, 2026?
500 shares @ 35.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-179.17
- YES
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on July 31, 2026?
500 shares @ 32.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-161.35
- YES
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.70T and $0.80T on July 31?
300 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-13.84
- YES
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.80T and $0.90T on July 31?
300 shares @ 14.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-44.64
- YES
Will Hyperliquid reach $76 in July?
231 shares @ 10.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.00
$-25.17
- YES
Will NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in July?
200 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.47
- YES
Will NYC have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in July?
200 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-42.00
- NO
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on July 31, 2026?
150 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-127.54
- YES
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $1.20T on July 31?
80 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-28.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill it rain in London on August 9?$5.00Aug 8, 12:35 UTC
- REWARD$1.50Aug 7, 20:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?$299.91Aug 2, 14:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on July 31, 2026?$700.00Aug 1, 22:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in July?$200.00Aug 1, 13:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hyperliquid dip to $52 in July?$200.00Jul 31, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in July?$1.94Jul 30, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in July?$8.86Jul 28, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in July?$17.17Jul 28, 16:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in July?$0.30Jul 28, 15:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in July?$0.98Jul 28, 15:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in July?$13.31Jul 28, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in July?$1.53Jul 21, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in July?$0.22Jul 21, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in July?$0.78Jul 21, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in July?$0.66Jul 21, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in July?$0.01Jul 21, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hyperliquid reach $76 in July?$9.17Jul 19, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in July?$0.07Jul 19, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in July?$1.16Jul 18, 15:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
28/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
89% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $6.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 8, 23:03 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 8, 12:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.