Hot-Disagreement
0x49c22b73f7ebaf21f87d52081598b1b26ed133f3
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
32
Open notional
$114.73
Total PnL
$-187.38
Realised
$3.46
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?
49 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$48.82
$6.83
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?
49 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$48.82
$6.35
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?
17 shares @ 46.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$17.09
$9.23
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on February 20?
160 shares @ 29.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-47.16
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on February 21?
150 shares @ 24.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-37.13
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on March 5?
132 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on February 21?
123 shares @ 27.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-33.79
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 5?
118 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on February 21?
110 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-4.26
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 5°C on February 18?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?$8.85May 12, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?$42.86May 12, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?$41.99May 12, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?$7.86May 12, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - April 20, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$0.10Apr 20, 23:35 UTC
- REDEEMMiami Open: Sonay Kartal vs Peyton Stearns$135.29Mar 18, 22:16 UTC
- REDEEMGrabher vs. Sakkari: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5$0.00Mar 18, 22:15 UTC
- REDEEMGrabher vs. Sakkari: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5$14.71Mar 18, 22:15 UTC
- REDEEMGrabher vs. Sakkari: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5$14.71Mar 18, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrabher vs. Sakkari: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5$15.00Mar 16, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrabher vs. Sakkari: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5$15.00Mar 16, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiami Open: Sonay Kartal vs Peyton Stearns$138.00Mar 16, 20:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBNP Paribas Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Jannik Sinner$1.30Mar 15, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNP Paribas Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Jannik Sinner$1.10Mar 15, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on March 5?$3.00Mar 4, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 5?$3.00Mar 4, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on March 5?$3.00Mar 4, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$2.50Feb 28, 23:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$20.00Feb 28, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$10.00Feb 28, 21:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $9.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 21, 11:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 12, 20:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".