Scary-Outside-Billion
0x49c2be08e72313760cee962a36a8d2d3a57e7889
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
32
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-644.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 30, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
741 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$0.00
$-40.63
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 30, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
505 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$0.00
$-23.07
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
500 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - July 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
498 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.98
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
481 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$0.00
$-58.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 30, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET
445 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$0.00
$-32.49
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 30, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
278 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.78
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
252 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$0.00
$-16.06
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
228 shares @ 10.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$0.00
$-24.74
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$2.44Jul 30, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$3.01Jul 30, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$9.32Jul 30, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$2.34Jul 30, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$10.69Jul 30, 08:28 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - July 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$32.99Jul 30, 08:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$153.08Jul 30, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$1.60Jul 30, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$6.19Jul 30, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$4.91Jul 30, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$1.45Jul 30, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$7.95Jul 30, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$4.24Jul 30, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$2.93Jul 30, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$5.65Jul 30, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$2.55Jul 30, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$4.74Jul 30, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$5.00Jul 30, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$4.20Jul 30, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$1.35Jul 30, 08:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $4.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 30, 06:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 30, 08:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.