Fat-Earthworm
0x49c4c78239490ff13e2b9e27d287113cdfa79b39
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$55.41
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
220 shares @ 39.0¢·now 25.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$55.41
$-30.51
- YES
Will federal spending decrease by more than $2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?
5500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.50
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - January 10, 5AM ET
439 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-224.08
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 30, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
428 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-218.50
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 8, 7AM ET
424 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-216.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
259 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-129.60
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
151 shares @ 51.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-77.28
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 7AM ET
141 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-72.15
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
64 shares @ 51.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-32.88
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 31, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 30, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 29, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 28, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 27, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 24, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 22, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 21, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 3
- Avg trade size
- $122.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 22, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".