Decisive-Diver
0x49c9181f2d354e909167c4a6ad7a5ede65193660
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$3.8K
Total PnL
$-222.04
Realised
$-0.61
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Paloma Valencia win less than 10% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?
1598 shares @ 98.8¢·now 98.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.6K
$-9.36
- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
4158 shares @ 18.8¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$644.47
$-135.52
- YES
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 25% and 30%?
586 shares @ 95.7¢·now 99.4¢·exp May 26, 2026$582.59
$21.68
- NO
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
3200 shares @ 19.6¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$528.00
$-98.00
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win between 40% and 45% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?
263 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$261.90
$1.13
- YES
Will voter turnout be 57-60% in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
197 shares @ 98.6¢·now 98.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$193.01
$-1.16
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Antioquia in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?
42 shares @ 96.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$40.06
$-0.21
- NO
Will voter turnout be 60%+ in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
13 shares @ 98.9¢·now 98.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$13.12
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$399.60Jun 7, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Antioquia in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?$40.34Jun 7, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 25% and 30%?$48.89Jun 6, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 25% and 30%?$5.43Jun 6, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 25% and 30%?$90.17Jun 6, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 25% and 30%?$95.60Jun 6, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 25% and 30%?$95.60Jun 6, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 25% and 30%?$95.60Jun 6, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 25% and 30%?$95.60Jun 6, 04:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$213.27Jun 6, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$99.20Jun 5, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$99.20Jun 5, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$99.20Jun 5, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$99.20Jun 5, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 25% and 30%?$28.99Jun 5, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 25% and 30%?$0.30Jun 5, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 25% and 30%?$4.78Jun 5, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia win less than 10% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?$22.74Jun 5, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia win less than 10% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?$196.80Jun 5, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia win less than 10% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?$196.80Jun 5, 16:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $125.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 02:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 7, 13:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.