Ornery-Tulip
0x49cb0520b927063028d37227e22221bb0aeccf42
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$1.39
Total PnL
$-5.61
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
1 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2025$1.39
$0.39
- YES
Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 137m?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Fiorentina win on 2025-09-28?
5 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 28, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Trump x Putin talk before July?
3 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 137m?$1.00Nov 24, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 137m?$1.00Nov 24, 01:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$286.04Oct 10, 05:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$286.34Oct 9, 14:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elche CF win on 2025-09-28?$5.56Sep 29, 00:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rayo Vallecano win on 2025-09-28?$0.00Sep 29, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fiorentina win on 2025-09-28?$2.00Sep 28, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elche CF win on 2025-09-28?$2.00Sep 28, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rayo Vallecano win on 2025-09-28?$4.00Sep 28, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?$1.00Sep 28, 07:57 UTC
- REDEEMTrump approval >45% on June 1?$1.02Sep 28, 07:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Aaron Rodgers sign with the New York Giants?$1.08Sep 28, 07:56 UTC
- REDEEM US military action on Yemen before July?$1.14Sep 28, 07:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next government of Suriname be NDP/NPS/ABOP?$1.18Sep 28, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next government of Suriname be NDP/NPS/ABOP?$1.00May 28, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump approval >45% on June 1?$1.00May 28, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUY US military action on Yemen before July?$1.00May 28, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump x Putin talk before July?$2.00May 28, 08:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jaxson Dart get drafted in the First Round?$0.00May 28, 08:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Henry Cucalón win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election?$1.01May 28, 08:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $17.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 29, 12:45 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 24, 01:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".