Flashy-Involvement
0x49d24e31b9afc1d39287835dcaeeed59a1da59f7
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$49.6K
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$-1.8K
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
35352 shares @ 34.9¢·now 95.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$33.6K
$21.2K
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
17230 shares @ 12.8¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$15.4K
$13.2K
- YES
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
28670 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$473.05
$44.78
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
30000 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$165.00
$-2.8K
- YES
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?
32266 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.1K
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
29146 shares @ 26.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.7K
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
18807 shares @ 26.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.1K
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
15000 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
11855 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-366.52
- NO
Will Italy win on 2025-10-14?
8000 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.4K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.05Jun 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 12, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$62.91Jun 11, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.6KJun 11, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$96.20Jun 11, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$583.80Jun 11, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.3KJun 11, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$21.60Jun 11, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$881.74Jun 11, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$360.00Jun 11, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.0KJun 11, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$2.4KJun 11, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$116.67Jun 11, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.1KJun 11, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$532.00Jun 11, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$0.70Jun 11, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$660.70Jun 11, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$79.80Jun 11, 18:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $633.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.