Brown-Achievement
0x49d3aa43f35b83e9ab7ce6135cd899beace5bdd2
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$340.70
Total PnL
$-16.00
Realised
$-16.27
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 9?
70 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$70.28
$0.28
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
894 shares @ 7.3¢·now 7.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$65.73
$0.45
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
241 shares @ 24.5¢·now 23.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$57.57
$-1.57
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
51 shares @ 97.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$51.29
$1.28
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
108 shares @ 37.2¢·now 37.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$39.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
211 shares @ 19.0¢·now 18.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$38.42
$-1.58
- YES
Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-05-09?
12 shares @ 83.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$11.96
$1.96
- DOOSAN BEARS
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Doosan Bears
5 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$5.49
$0.49
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
10 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jun 19, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 18, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 16, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 8, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 5, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 4, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 2, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 1, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 31, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
9 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $49.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 08:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 19, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.