Ragged-Dare
0x49d3c803d03a16be65cad2820ba28b373d72ea4e
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
86
Open notional
$5.50
Total PnL
$-6.0K
Realised
$-196.12
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 86- YES
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
579 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.50
$-3.19
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?
29993 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-194.56
- NO
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?
25000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
21733 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-46.92
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
21650 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-196.48
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 14, 2026?
13462 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-114.49
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
12800 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-133.89
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
12270 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-375.18
- GIANTS
Giants vs. Patriots
11695 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-79.60
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?
10233 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-116.21
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$24.00Jun 1, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$28.00May 30, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$28.00May 30, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$27.90May 30, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$26.00May 30, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Spurs$31.59May 29, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Spurs$0.91May 29, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Spurs$3.14May 29, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Spurs$16.72May 29, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Thunder$5.15May 27, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Thunder$5.15May 27, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$8.69Mar 15, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$232.19Mar 1, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$58.00Mar 1, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?$16.50Mar 1, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$85.00Feb 28, 22:49 UTC
- REDEEMMaduro leaves Venezuela by March 31?$0.00Feb 28, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$3.20Feb 28, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$3.00Feb 28, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$3.20Feb 28, 07:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $32.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 12, 16:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 03:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".