Ornate-Gentleman
0x49d40f783c54d5069585366466cae20472c6552d
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on December 15?
670 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-335.00
- NO
Will the price of XRP be between $1.80 and $1.90 on December 31?
660 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-330.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $140 on December 26?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,500 on December 28?
360 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$0.00
$-180.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on January 2?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,300 and $3,400 on December 23?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 1?
305 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 10?
305 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-4.57
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 12?
304 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.47
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 27?$329.01Jan 27, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 27?$330.00Jan 27, 08:58 UTC
- REWARD$1.05Jan 24, 00:01 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 23?$153.43Jan 23, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 23?$100.00Jan 23, 13:19 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 23?$196.00Jan 23, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 23?$228.00Jan 23, 09:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 22?$165.83Jan 23, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 22?$165.00Jan 22, 11:39 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - January 20, 5PM ET$690.00Jan 21, 10:14 UTC
- SPLITSolana Up or Down - January 20, 5PM ET$690.00Jan 20, 22:02 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - January 20, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$690.00Jan 20, 21:56 UTC
- SPLITXRP Up or Down - January 20, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$690.00Jan 20, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 20?$1.21Jan 20, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on January 19?$250.50Jan 20, 08:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$440.00Jan 20, 08:22 UTC
- SPLITBitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$440.00Jan 19, 17:27 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - January 19, 4AM ET$440.00Jan 19, 17:18 UTC
- SPLITSolana Up or Down - January 19, 4AM ET$440.00Jan 19, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on January 19?$250.00Jan 19, 09:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
14 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $191.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 12, 08:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 27, 13:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.