Flaky-Mixer
0x49d86043e9005f87298f7726466c7e481ee04a0e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-313.79
Realised
$5.85
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
650 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-55.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 15?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on December 15?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
295 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
220 shares @ 17.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-39.36
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
181 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
167 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9PM ET
120 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.80
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
74 shares @ 20.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$2.00May 14, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$9.00May 14, 14:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$0.00May 14, 14:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$1.20May 14, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$0.11May 14, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$0.29May 14, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$0.50May 14, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$0.30May 14, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$0.30May 14, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$0.30May 14, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$0.30May 14, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$0.28May 14, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$0.20May 14, 14:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$0.00May 14, 13:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$3.07May 14, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$0.43May 14, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$0.47May 14, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$1.25May 14, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$1.09May 14, 13:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$10.00May 14, 13:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $2.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 07:44 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 16:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".