Gruesome-Till
0x49d9cbd1d3b1dc861db9e1b5e2445ef96c264e96
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
37
Open notional
$81.89
Total PnL
$-8.84
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 37°C on June 23?
130 shares @ 6.9¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$9.77
$0.77
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 23?
59 shares @ 17.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$6.76
$-3.24
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on June 23?
16 shares @ 29.0¢·now 30.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$4.90
$0.16
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on June 23?
14 shares @ 35.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$4.21
$-0.79
- YES
Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?
5 shares @ 43.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$1.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?
6 shares @ 36.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$1.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?
6 shares @ 32.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$1.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?
7 shares @ 28.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$1.96
$-0.04
- YES
Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?
7 shares @ 28.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$1.96
$-0.04
- YES
Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?
7 shares @ 28.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$1.96
$-0.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan vs. Argentina end in a draw?$2.05Jun 22, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?$2.04Jun 22, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?$2.04Jun 22, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Panama vs. England end in a draw?$2.05Jun 22, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?$2.04Jun 22, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand vs. Belgium end in a draw?$2.05Jun 22, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?$2.04Jun 22, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw?$2.05Jun 22, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?$2.04Jun 22, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Senegal vs. Iraq end in a draw?$2.05Jun 22, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway vs. France end in a draw?$2.04Jun 22, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?$2.03Jun 22, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tunisia vs. Netherlands end in a draw?$2.05Jun 22, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?$2.04Jun 22, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?$2.05Jun 22, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?$2.05Jun 22, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?$2.04Jun 22, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw?$2.05Jun 22, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?$2.05Jun 22, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland vs. Brazil end in a draw?$2.05Jun 22, 08:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $2.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 22, 08:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 22, 08:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.