Grown-Moustache
0x49e070a7a0a16e6d0660103951c2f4be230c8370
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$1.28
Total PnL
$-22.72
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal before July?
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$1.28
$0.28
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Mexico counter tariff the U.S. in April?
53 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 9?
21 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1300 and $1400 on Apr 25?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will next reconciliation bill extend income tax cut for high earners in 2025?
9 shares @ 10.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before June?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1700 and $1800 on Apr 25?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Israel military action against Iran in July?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYAnother Israel strike on Yemen in July?$1.00Jul 10, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael military action against Iran in July?$1.00Jul 10, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYSouth Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025?$1.00Jul 9, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran before August?$1.00Jul 9, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYState of Emergency in LA by Friday?$1.00Jun 11, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal before July?$1.00Jun 11, 12:10 UTC
- TRADESELLUS recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?$2.59Jun 11, 12:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?$1.18Jun 6, 17:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill next reconciliation bill reduce taxes on Social Security in 2025?$1.39Jun 6, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill next reconciliation bill reduce taxes on Social Security in 2025?$1.00May 15, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill next reconciliation bill end electric vehicle tax credits in 2025?$1.00May 15, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill next reconciliation bill extend income tax cut for high earners in 2025?$1.00May 15, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill next reconciliation bill lift debt ceiling in 2025?$1.00May 15, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill next reconciliation bill extend income tax cut for high earners in 2025?$1.00May 15, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill next reconciliation bill end taxes on tips in 2025?$1.00May 15, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?$1.00May 15, 12:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Putin meet with Trump before July?$1.04May 15, 12:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$7.91May 15, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$8.00May 15, 12:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July?$3.33May 15, 10:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $1.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 18, 20:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 13:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".