Crafty-Stable
0x49e1020377f3d23e0edcec1c9a2fabd35b34ba69
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$6.60
Total PnL
$-14.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Trump out as President by April 30?
7 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$6.60
$0.09
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
3400 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.7K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 23, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
3000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 23, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
2900 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.4K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 23, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
2820 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.4K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 23, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
2311 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 23, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
2280 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 23, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
2020 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
1666 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-832.84
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week? (February 10)$1.01Apr 7, 06:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$1.03Apr 7, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by April 30?$6.51Apr 7, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week? (February 10)$1.00Feb 6, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$1.00Feb 6, 03:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$1.01Feb 6, 03:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$1.03Feb 6, 03:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?$1.07Feb 6, 03:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.10Feb 6, 03:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$2.06Feb 6, 03:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$2.09Feb 6, 03:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?$3.07Feb 6, 03:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Emmanuel Macron in January 2026?$200.00Feb 6, 03:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$805.00Feb 6, 03:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Maduro" this week? (January 18)$1.4KFeb 6, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$1.00Jan 14, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?$1.00Jan 14, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$1.00Jan 14, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$1.00Jan 14, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?$1.00Jan 14, 09:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $224.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 24, 03:05 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 7, 06:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".