Sarcastic-Almighty
0x49e1f5d68192bdb2131fec9707ecc9083c9314a0
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
52
Open notional
$114.94
Total PnL
$-387.73
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 52- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
115 shares @ 17.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$114.94
$94.94
- YES
Will Benicio Del Toro win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
833 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
472 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
385 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
303 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Powell say "Judge" during June Press Conference?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?
244 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Sirāt win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
154 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 6AM ET
132 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.57
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 20, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.